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Rodent Control Effectiveness Model Using CPT Calculator
Rodent Control Effectiveness Model Using CPT Calculator
Title:
Rodent Control Effectiveness Model Using CPT Calculator
Date Created:
12/12/2009
Short Description:
Model for assessing the effectiveness of the trap barrier system of rodent control in Cambodia
Long Description:
None
Version:
1
Authors:
Carl Smith
Categories:
DBL Interactive Training Materials, Examples, Using Expert Opinion
Target Audiences:
Everyone
Total Nodes:
25
Total Nature Nodes:
25
Total Decision Nodes:
0
Total Utility Nodes:
0
Nodes
V
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
V
Long Name:
TBS Field Demonstrations
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
W
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
W
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
W
Long Name:
Awareness of TBS
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
Awarness of TBS and benefits/value of TBS
Parents:
V
Children:
U
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Aqua
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
High
1
Low
2
Probabilities
V
High
Low
Yes
0.95
0.05
No
0.3
0.7
Z
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
Z
Long Name:
Cost of TBS Materials
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
Cost of TBS Materials = Plastic, traps, wire Not Bamboo, sowing
Parents:
None
Children:
U
Total States:
3
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Low_30_to_35_dollars
1
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
2
High_more_than_50_dollars
3
Probabilities
Low_30_to_35_dollars
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
High_more_than_50_dollars
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
B
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
B
Long Name:
Labour Available
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
D
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
C
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
C
Long Name:
Good Materials Available
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
D
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
D
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
D
Long Name:
Resources Adequate to Build TBS
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
B, C
Children:
U
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Aqua
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
B
C
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
1
0
Yes
No
0.1
0.9
No
Yes
0.3
0.7
No
No
0
1
X
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
X
Long Name:
Time Available to Implement TBS
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
U
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
Y
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
Y
Long Name:
Good Leadership
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
Leaders = TBS Leaders
Parents:
None
Children:
U
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
U
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
U
Long Name:
Farmer Participation in TBS
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
High = Field owners active farmers others participate Medium = Field owners active farmers participate Low = Field owners only participate
Parents:
W, Z, D, X, Y
Children:
F
Total States:
3
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Yellow
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
High
1
Medium
2
Low
3
Probabilities
W
Z
D
X
Y
High
Medium
Low
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
Yes
Yes
Yes
0.95
0.05
0
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
Yes
Yes
No
0.8
0.15
0.05
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
Yes
No
Yes
0.1
0.2
0.7
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
Yes
No
No
0.08
0.2
0.72
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
No
Yes
Yes
0.75
0.2
0.05
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
No
Yes
No
0.63
0.27
0.1
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
No
No
Yes
0.08
0.2
0.72
High
Low_30_to_35_dollars
No
No
No
0.07
0.2
0.73
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
Yes
Yes
Yes
0.85
0.1
0.05
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
Yes
Yes
No
0.72
0.18
0.1
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
Yes
No
Yes
0.08
0.2
0.72
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
Yes
No
No
0.08
0.2
0.72
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
No
Yes
Yes
0.67
0.23
0.1
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
No
Yes
No
0.57
0.29
0.14
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
No
No
Yes
0.07
0.2
0.73
High
Medium_36_to_50_dollars
No
No
No
0.06
0.2
0.74
High
High_more_than_50_dollars
Yes
Yes
Yes
0
0.2
0.8
High
High_more_than_50_dollars
Yes
Yes
No
0
0.19
0.81
High
High_more_than_50_dollars
Yes
No
Yes
0
0.06
0.94
High
High_more_than_50_dollars
Yes
No
No
0
0.06
0.94
1
2
3
M
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
M
Long Name:
Near Water Source
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
L
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
N
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
N
Long Name:
Near Rat Habitat
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
L
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
L
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
L
Long Name:
TBS Site Locations
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
M, N
Children:
F
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Yellow
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Good
1
Poor
2
Probabilities
M
N
Good
Poor
Yes
Yes
0.8
0.2
Yes
No
0.2
0.8
No
Yes
0.08
0.92
No
No
0
1
A1
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
A1
Long Name:
TBS Training Program in Place
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
Researcher and Extension workers
Parents:
None
Children:
A
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
A2
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
A2
Long Name:
Farmer Knowledge Sharing
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
A
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Good
1
Poor
2
Probabilities
Good
Poor
0.5
0.5
A
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
A
Long Name:
Farmers Knowledge and Skills of TBS
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
A1, A2
Children:
F
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Yellow
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Good
1
Poor
2
Probabilities
A1
A2
Good
Poor
Yes
Good
0.95
0.05
Yes
Poor
0.6
0.4
No
Good
0.25
0.75
No
Poor
0
1
S
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
S
Long Name:
Time Sharing by TBS Members
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
R
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
T
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
T
Long Name:
Responsible Field Owners
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
The field owner is the TBS leader
Parents:
None
Children:
R, Q
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
R
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
R
Long Name:
TBS Monitoring
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
S, T
Children:
Q
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Aqua
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Regular
1
Irregular
2
Probabilities
S
T
Regular
Irregular
Yes
Yes
0.95
0.05
Yes
No
0.75
0.25
No
Yes
0.8
0.2
No
No
0
1
Q
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
Q
Long Name:
TBS Maintenance
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
Removing rats fixing damage
Parents:
R, T
Children:
F
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Yellow
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Good
1
Poor
2
Probabilities
R
T
Good
Poor
Regular
Yes
0.95
0.05
Regular
No
0.5
0.5
Irregular
Yes
0.55
0.45
Irregular
No
0.1
0.9
K
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
K
Long Name:
Early Transplanting
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
E
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
G
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
G
Long Name:
Early Water Available
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
E
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
J
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
J
Long Name:
Short-term Rice Variety
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
E
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
H
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
H
Long Name:
Aromatic Rice Variety
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
None
Children:
E
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Lime
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Yes
1
No
2
Probabilities
Yes
No
0.5
0.5
E
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
E
Long Name:
TBS Lure Crops
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
K, G, J, H
Children:
F
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Yellow
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
Good
1
Poor
2
Probabilities
K
G
J
H
Good
Poor
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
0.9
0.1
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
0.8
0.2
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
0.3
0.7
Yes
Yes
No
No
0.27
0.73
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
0.5
0.5
Yes
No
Yes
No
0.44
0.56
Yes
No
No
Yes
0.17
0.83
Yes
No
No
No
0.15
0.85
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
0.4
0.6
No
Yes
Yes
No
0.36
0.64
No
Yes
No
Yes
0.13
0.87
No
Yes
No
No
0.12
0.88
No
No
Yes
Yes
0.22
0.78
No
No
Yes
No
0.2
0.8
No
No
No
Yes
0.07
0.93
No
No
No
No
0
1
F
Type:
Nature
Discrete / Continuous:
Discrete
Short Name:
F
Long Name:
Community TBS Effecitiveness
Short Description:
None
Long Description:
None
Parents:
U, L, A, Q, E
Children:
None
Total States:
2
Hidden:
Enabled:
Default State:
None
Display Colour:
Red
States
Short Title
Long Title
Real Value
State Value
Sort Order
Description
High
1
Low
2
Probabilities
U
L
A
Q
E
High
Low
High
Good
Good
Good
Good
0.9
0.1
High
Good
Good
Good
Poor
1
0
High
Good
Good
Poor
Good
0.1
0.9
High
Good
Good
Poor
Poor
0.0647
0.9353
High
Good
Poor
Good
Good
0.75
0.25
High
Good
Poor
Good
Poor
0.2559
0.7441
High
Good
Poor
Poor
Good
0.0912
0.9088
High
Good
Poor
Poor
Poor
0.0621
0.9379
High
Poor
Good
Good
Good
0.07
0.93
High
Poor
Good
Good
Poor
0.0559
0.9441
High
Poor
Good
Poor
Good
0.0512
0.9488
High
Poor
Good
Poor
Poor
0.0504
0.9496
High
Poor
Poor
Good
Good
0.0665
0.9335
High
Poor
Poor
Good
Poor
0.0549
0.9451
High
Poor
Poor
Poor
Good
0.051
0.949
High
Poor
Poor
Poor
Poor
0.0503
0.9497
Medium
Good
Good
Good
Good
0.9
0.1
Medium
Good
Good
Good
Poor
0.3
0.7
Medium
Good
Good
Poor
Good
0.1
0.9
Medium
Good
Good
Poor
Poor
0.0647
0.9353
1
2
3
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